Saturday

May 18th, 2024

Insight

No 'no-fly zone'? Then NATO must find another way to protect Ukraine's skies

Trudy Rubin

By Trudy Rubin Philadelphia Inquirer/(TNS)

Published March 10, 2022

No 'no-fly zone'? Then NATO must find another way to protect Ukraine's skies
Watching TV shots of Vladimir Putin's army deliberately bombing and shelling civilians is like watching a movie of the London Blitz in 1940, when Adolf Hitler's air force rained death down from the air.

No wonder the British Parliament jumped to its feet in applause when Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy addressed them virtually Tuesday and paraphrased Winston Churchill. He insisted: "We will not give up, we will fight on the sea, on land, whatever the cost. … We will not lose."

But then came the painful punch line, repeating the plea Zelenskyy has been making over and over — to no avail — to the Europeans and to President Joe Biden: "Please make sure our Ukrainian skies are safe."

The White House and NATO allies must respond to that plea, even if they reject Zelenskyy's request for a NATO no-fly zone over Ukraine. They must think outside the box on how to stop Russia's slaughter from the skies.

No matter how bravely Ukrainian ground forces are fighting the Russian Goliath, they are still unable to stop the rain of Russian missiles, rockets, and bombs that are smashing cities and civilians, including those trying to flee. Nor will more economic sanctions on Russian banks and oil — while necessary for the long term — halt Putin's vicious air campaign.

A NATO no-fly zone would require U.S. or European planes to destroy Russian air defenses and confront Russian planes. Understandably, the West does not want to go to war with Russia to defend a non-NATO member, Ukraine.

But there are other ideas out there for protecting Ukraine's skies.

"Right now we are in a group think," I was told by retired Air Force general and former NATO commander Philip Breedlove. "We need to consider other tools."

He and former U.S. Ambassador to NATO Kurt Volker have proposed a humanitarian no-fly zone that could extend over western Ukraine, which Russia hasn't yet heavily attacked and where hundreds of thousands of refugees are taking shelter. Perhaps it could be extended over Kiev. It would be designed to protect civilians and permit the delivery of humanitarian aid and the safe exit of refugees.

"A traditional no-fly zone is an act of war, but we are thinking of different rules of engagement," says Breedlove. "You tell the enemy, we won't fire on you if you don't fire on us as we escort people out."

Of course, it is easy to imagine the objections to such an idea, starting with, "What if the Russians refuse?" Yet, the alternative is for NATO to sit by and watch Putin turn Ukrainian cities into death zones.

Instead, why not think creatively, and perhaps try to get the United Nations General Assembly to authorize such a humanitarian air corridor? That would give an international green light to the project.

"There is a risk here, but there are no options that are zero risk," Breedlove says. "There is already a risk of nuclear exchange. If the Ukrainians do too good a job on the ground, Putin may pop a battlefield nuclear weapon, just because he's making no progress."

Russia's attacks on Ukrainian nuclear reactors already constitute a nuclear threat.

Indeed, Putin is constantly playing the nuclear card, hinting at nuclear war and claiming sanctions mean the West is at war with Russia. "If we are going to constantly accede to his demands, it will be a long 20 years [before Putin steps down]," Breedlove says.

Volker also warns of the danger of the U.S. "sending [Putin] a signal that so long as you have nukes, you can do whatever you want. That is an incentive for anyone in the world to try to get nukes. It is an incentive for conflict," he told me.

Instead, Americans should remember that the United States has faced down the Russian nuclear weapons before, during the Berlin airlift and the Cuban missile crisis. "We've been in a nuclear standoff during the Cold War and have faced the Russians for decades," I was told by retired Adm. James Stavridis, also a former NATO commander.

"It is critical to the Western order [in which dictators don't launch unprovoked wars and destroy other countries] that Putin not be rewarded for his actions. We should be prudent, but demonstrate the U.S. and its allies are capable of dealing with his threats."

Sign up for the daily JWR update. It's free. Just click here.

Beyond a humanitarian no-fly zone, there are other ideas for protecting Ukraine's air space that haven't been tried yet.

Poland unexpectedly agreed Tuesday night to transfer 28 used MiG-29 fighter jets to Ukraine, whose pilots know how to fly them. There are still big hurdles, like how to get the planes to Ukraine and how to fulfill U.S. pledges to replace them. But Washington should try to get these planes delivered with utmost speed.

The White House should also be focused on how to send Ukraine ground-based air defense systems that are capable of hitting Russian planes and missiles at medium and high altitudes. "You want to get air defenses up higher than Stingers," says former U.S. Ambassador to Ukraine John Herbst, referring to the ground-to-air missiles we belatedly are sending to Ukraine.

The bottom line: As fast as the West has awakened over the past two weeks, it must act even more swiftly to prevent Putin from wreaking destruction from the air that rivals what Hitler did to London. If Putin's nuclear blackmail prevents us from saving Ukraine, who knows where he will threaten next.

(COMMENT, BELOW)

Trudy Rubin
Philadelphia Inquirer
(TNS)

Previously:

03/07/22: The third World War has already started in Ukraine. Europe and the US should wake up

03/04/22:Putin must be stopped from turning Kiev into Aleppo

03/02/22:Why is Belarus helping Russia invade Ukraine? An explainer on the latest in the conflict

02/25/22: What the UN should finally do about Russia

02/24/22: Why Putin's Ukraine aggression will change the world --- an explainer on how we got here

02/10/22: Ukrainian civilians train for war with cardboard guns: 'We are scared but we are ready

01/13/22:Putin wants to reestablish the Russian empire. Can NATO stop him without war?

12/10/21: Can Biden and NATO prevent Putin from invading Ukraine? Summit puts it to the test

12/02/21: Boris Johnson stirs up new Irish Troubles for his own personal political gains

11/22/21: Xi Jinping thinks America is on the rocks. Is he correct?

08/18/21: President Biden, get our Afghan allies on evacuation planes

08/18/21:The horror of Afghan women abandoned by Biden's troop pullout

08/09/21:China is pushing a big COVID-19 lie that makes a new pandemic harder to prevent

05/27/21: Punish Belarus leader for Ryanair hijacking before air piracy becomes dictators' new tool

04/14/21: Can Beethoven temper the political tensions between US and China?

06/01/20: US must stand with Hong Kong against Beijing's efforts to crush its freedoms

05/20/20: COVID-19 offers a chance to halt Iran's hostage diplomacy

05/21/14: Newscycle spurs visit to country my family fled

04/21/14: Blind to Putin's strategy?

12/24/13: Obama's Syrian indifference has led to more death and destruction. Meet some real heroes

12/13/13: Where liberals have come to love the military

12/09/13: The China strategy

11/05/13: Return to Iraq is worth a close look

10/01/13: Obama's call to Iran: Who was really on the line?

09/11/13: How Obama got Syria so wrong

07/24/13: It's time for Obama to tell Putin 'nyet'

05/15/13: What Russia gave Kerry on Syria --- very little


Trudy Rubin is a columnist and editorial-board member for the Philadelphia Inquirer.

Columnists

Toons