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Trump aside, Republican establishment is having a good year

Steven T. Dennis

By Steven T. Dennis Bloomberg News

Published Sept. 1, 2016

 Trump aside, Republican establishment is having a good year
The populist wave that swept Donald Trump to the top of the Republican ticket hasn't led to a revolution sweeping away party insiders.

That's the message from another set of primary victories Tuesday night for Senate incumbents from the party's establishment wing -- Arizona's John McCain and Florida's Marco Rubio. It's also good news for a party hoping to cling to control of Congress even if their standard-bearer loses big in November.

Few outsider candidates have been able to replicate Trump's recipe for primary success this year, as Republicans successfully swatted away challenges to the party's incumbents. McCain's opponent, Kelli Ward, and Rubio's challenger, Carlos Beruff, each sought to ride the Trump phenomenon to no avail. Neither had Trump's name recognition, nor his ability to command media attention. They also didn't have his endorsement.

The wins come not long after Speaker Paul Ryan of Wisconsin trounced his primary challenger, Paul Nehlen, who also ran on a Trumpian message and hoped to repeat Dave Brat's shocking victory over House Majority Leader Eric Cantor of Virginia two years ago, only to score less than 16 percent of the vote.

Trump, of course, nominally endorsed Rubio, McCain and Ryan, and has made no real effort to build a movement bigger than himself. It's not clear how big his coattails would be if he did: Representative Renee Ellmers of North Carolina, who received a rare Trump endorsement, lost her primary, partly as a result of redistricting.

The 80-year-old McCain and the 45-year-old Rubio, co-authors of a compromise immigration overhaul bill that passed the Senate in 2013, both endorsed Trump, too. But they've spent as little time as possible talking about him -- or his policy platform.

Instead, they followed a strategy the party laid out a year ago to focus as much as possible on local issues and try to outperform Trump, should he win the nomination.

"Republicans have taken nothing for granted this cycle," said Greg Blair, spokesman for the National Republican Senatorial Committee. "We've known from Day One that the map would be challenging and there would be few certainties about the political environment."

Some are openly campaigning on the need to keep the Senate in Republican hands, whether Trump or Hillary Clinton is in the White House next year.

"The only person in this race who will not be a rubber stamp for the executive branch in this election is me, and that is what we need in the Senate more than ever before," Rubio told his supporters at his victory speech Tuesday night.