Wednesday

January 18th, 2017

Insight

Trump Comeback In High Gear

Dick Morris

By Dick Morris

Published August 24, 2016

The Closing of the American Mouth


Are you wondering whether Trump can win?

Damn right he can.

In fact, in the past week and a half he's been winning. He's moved up in all polls and is tied or ahead in the two online polls (Zogby and L.A. Times/USC). He's stopped making mistakes and, without his gaffes to highlight, Hillary has absolutely no message.

Trump has given cogent, and thoughtful speeches on the economy, terrorism, and racism in the past week and the response is showing in the polls.

Meanwhile things are not going well for Hillary. She has no message. She's completely ensnared in emails and her litany of lies that are unraveling day-by-day. Colin Powell has all but called her a liar -- and the FBI has turned over 15,000 new emails that Hillary kept from the State Department. And Judicial Watch has released additional emails that show how the Clinton Foundation regularly pushed for special access for their donors -- and got it!


Our new book, Armageddon: How Trump Can Beat Hillary, explains that this race will be volatile until the election. Thanks to your help, it's been on the top of the NY Times Bestsellers list for the past month. On Sunday, it was #3!

Is Trump too far behind? No way. Compare Gallup's August data in past elections with the outcome.

In 1980, Carter and Reagan were tied in August. Reagan won by 19.

In 1988, Dukakis was 17 ahead. Bush won by 8.

In 2000. Bush was 16 ahead. He finished one-half point behind Gore.

In 2004, Kerry was ahead. Bush won by 4.

And two final points:

1. Trump consistently polled an average of 5 points below his actual vote share in the primaries. Voters may be embarrassed to admit they are for Trump. That may be why he's winning online polls but losing phone polls.

2. Trump voters are downscale, late deciders who aren't really felt in polls until the very end.

So stay the course. We can win and are coming back strong.

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Dick Morris, who served as adviser to former Sen. Trent Lott (R-Miss.) and former President Clinton, is the author of 16 books, including his latest, Screwed and Here Come the Black Helicopters.

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