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May 28th, 2017

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Here's how Biden-Warren sort of makes sense

Albert Hunt

By Albert Hunt Bloomberg News/(TNS)

Published August 31, 2015

 Here's how Biden-Warren sort of makes sense

If Joe Biden was trying to unsettle Hillary Clinton by meeting with Elizabeth Warren over the weekend, here’s a way to really rattle her: pick the Massachusetts senator as his presidential running mate and announce it now.

Vice President Biden may or may not be serious about challenging Clinton, but one thing is certain: He can’t beat her unless something dramatic and unexpected happens.

That’s what a Warren selection would be.

There is precedent. In 1976, Ronald Reagan, the champion of Republican conservatives, picked Richard Schweiker, the liberal Pennsylvania senator, to be his running mate about a month before the party’s convention. It almost worked.

The concept makes sense despite the tradition of waiting until the convention. It’s more transparent for voters as well as party leaders, and it might forestall a panicky last-minute selection of a problematic pick like Sarah Palin.

Leave aside for now whether it’s a good governing move. The politics would give a boost to the vice president’s steep uphill climb if he decides to run.

Under normal circumstances, Biden would have a tough time raising campaign funds against the vast Clinton money machine. Warren’s serious fundraising apparatus would help, though it wouldn’t level the playing field.

Warren would also help Biden parry complaints by Democratic women who’d consider his candidacy a threat to undermine the best chance ever to elect a female President. And it would give him a way to soothe Democratic leftists who’d otherwise be irked by his challenge to their candidate, the Vermont socialist Bernie Sanders. Warren is the only elected official who rivals, or exceeds, Sanders’s popularity in those circles.

A Biden-Warren ticket would churn stomachs in the Clinton ranks, where there’s already plenty of heartburn over the candidate’s handling of her private email accounts while she was secretary of state.

Clinton still would be a solid favorite to win the nomination and a Biden-Warren ticket would have challenges of its own. Biden, who twice before has run for his party’s nomination, can be a loose cannon, and Warren is untested in national politics. She has accused President Barack Obama’s administration of coddling Wall Street and would have to figure out how to credibly absolve the vice president of the charge, which she also has leveled at Clinton.

When Reagan picked Schweiker in 1976, it temporarily halted President Gerald Ford’s momentum toward securing the nomination. Ford prevailed, but only after narrowly defeating a Republican Party rule proposal that would have required him to announce his running mate too.

If Reagan instead had won the rules skirmish, forcing Ford to name his controversial choice, Kansas Sen. Bob Dole, before wrapping up the majority of delegates, more than a few experts thought it would have swung the nomination to the California conservative.

In 1988, after Dole won the Iowa caucuses, some of his advisers urged him to announce the selection of former Tennessee Gov. Lamar Alexander to be his running mate. They reasoned that doing so would give Dole a way to dominate the political dialogue leading up to the New Hampshire primary, blunting expected attacks from Vice President George H.W. Bush. Dole declined. Bush mounted a successful offensive, then won the New Hampshire primary, the Republican nomination and eventually the Presidency.

Albert R. Hunt
Bloomberg News
(TNS)


Previously:
08/28/15:Trump upends New Hampshire's substantive tradition
08/26/15:Jeb Bush is hugging the wrong president George
08/24/15: Underestimating Ted Cruz? That's a mistake
08/19/15: US holds steady in a world of economic trouble
08/12/15: Who will capture Iowa conservatives after Trump?
08/10/15: Debate fireworks that won’t make much impact
07/29/15: A plea for conservatives to speak from the heart
07/09/15: Ex-Im Bank's undeserved rap for crony capitalism
06/24/15: All presidential candidates should be in debates
06/03/15: Foreign policy traps await Republicans and Hillary
06/01/15: It's small stuff that wrecks presidential runs
02/04/15: Can Walker be president without a college degree?

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Albert R. Hunt is a Bloomberg View columnist. He was formerly the executive editor of Bloomberg News, directing coverage of the Washington bureau. Hunt hosts the weekly television show "Political Capital with Al Hunt." In his four decades at the Wall Street Journal, he was a reporter, bureau chief and executive Washington editor, and wrote the weekly column "Politics & People." Hunt also directed the Journal's polls, was president of the Dow Jones Newspaper Fund and a board member of the Ottaway community newspapers. He was a panelist on the CNN programs "The Capital Gang" and "Novak, Hunt & Shields." He is co-author of books on U.S. elections by the American Enterprise Institute and the Brookings Institution.

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