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Jewish World Review Dec. 28, 2011/ 2 Teves, 5772 Blame Florida for GOP's holiday craziness By Byron York http://www.JewishWorldReview.com | All across Iowa, Republican candidates are trying to cram as much campaigning as possible into the days remaining before the Jan. 3 caucuses, all the while taking care not to get in the way of the voters' real lives during the holiday rush. It's not easy. Newt Gingrich is planning a tour of more than 40 cities and towns. Rick Perry is in the middle of his own marathon. Michele Bachmann is trying to hit all 99 of Iowa's counties in just 10 days. It's an insane last-minute rush, at a moment when most voters' time is filled with holiday gatherings and shopping and preparation. Why would Republicans schedule such a crucial event at such an inconvenient time? What sense does that make? The answer is: It doesn't make any sense, and it didn't have to be that way. And it wouldn't be, were it not for Florida. The Iowa caucuses were originally scheduled to take place on Feb. 6, followed by New Hampshire, South Carolina and Nevada. Each state jealously guards its place in the schedule -- Iowa is the first caucus; New Hampshire, the first primary; South Carolina, first in the South, and Nevada, first in the West. Having the race begin in earnest on Feb. 6 would have allowed Republicans plenty of time to campaign after all the holiday distractions. The other states would have followed in an orderly fashion, with Florida set for March. But Florida Republicans worried that a fast-breaking Republican race might be decided by March, which would give Florida no role in selecting the GOP nominee. So Florida Gov. Rick Scott and a group of legislators decided to move Florida's primary to Jan. 31, ahead of Iowa and the rest of the pack. The Floridians knew the move was against party rules, but as former Gov. Bob Martinez explained: "We're the biggest swing state in the Union." And the biggest swing state does what it wants. The other states howled. Iowa GOP Chairman Matt Strawn denounced Florida's "arrogance" and "petulant behavior." New Hampshire GOP Chairman Wayne MacDonald called the decision "a disservice to the political process." South Carolina GOP Chairman Chad Connelly called Florida a "rogue state." No matter. "Florida will be crucial to the general election strategy, and we are the fourth-most populous state in the Union," says Florida GOP spokesman Brian Hughes. "What other states did to pack around the holidays and how candidates and their organizations choose to campaign are not things that Florida could decide." The move has had the most effect in Iowa. For example, it's normal to have the last debate a few days before the caucuses. When Iowa was planning to hold the caucuses on Feb. 6, a Monday, a debate was planned for Thursday, Feb. 2. Now, with the caucuses on Jan. 3, it's just not possible to hold a debate a few days beforehand, unless Republicans wanted to do it on New Year's Eve. So the last debate of a debate-packed season was Dec. 15 -- nearly three weeks before the caucuses. Because of Florida's move, Iowa voters won't get a last look at all the candidates. The final days of the Iowa campaign will also have a weird start-and-stop quality. "Everybody is going to hit the pause button over this weekend," says party chairman Strawn. Christmas break will be followed, he says, by "an intense sprint at the end trying to capture the attention of caucus-goers who have kids home from school." And then there will be New Year's. Florida's move will have one more effect, this one felt nationally. Because of all the reshuffling, there will be a strangely quiet period in the Republican race in February. After voting in Colorado, Minnesota and Missouri on Feb. 7, there will be three weeks before the next contests, on Feb. 28 in Arizona and Michigan. There would have been no gap had Florida not broken the Republicans' carefully planned schedule. In the end, Florida's move might backfire. State Republicans wanted an earlier primary to make sure Florida would play a major role in selecting the candidate, even if the race was over quickly. But if the campaign stretches out for months, it will be later primaries, and not Florida, that could prove decisive. It could turn out that Florida Republicans outsmarted themselves. Meanwhile, the Merry-Christmas-Happy-New-Year-please-vote-for-me campaigning continues in Iowa. Nobody wants it that way, but they have to play the hand that Florida dealt them. Every weekday JewishWorldReview.com publishes what many in the media and Washington consider "must-reading". Sign up for the daily JWR update. It's free. Just click here. Comment on Byron York's column by clicking here. Previously: 12/20/11 Huckabee dismisses draft but remains a force in Iowa 12/13/11 Surging fast, Gingrich looks to take Iowa 12/06/11 Voters like Newt, but wait to see if he's real 11/29/11 Despite surge, peril for Gingrich all around 11/22/11 To bounce back, Perry must mix it up 11/15/11 Newt's wonkish, unconventional campaign 11/08/11 Tim Pawlenty, the man who coulda been a contender 11/07/11 Gingrich big winner at key Iowa event 10/31/11 Perry's right: Republicans drowning in debates 10/25/11 Romney health plan still faces challenge from GOP 10/18/11 Lesson of Perry's candidacy: Think before you run 10/06/11 In veepstakes, candidates deaf to Rubio ‘no’ 10/04/11 Cain's 9-9-9 plan sounds good, but will it work? 09/27/11 Media bias 101 09/20/11 Obama plagued by Dems' ingratitude 09/13/11 Will immigration cripple Perry's bid? 09/06/11 Left paints the campaign as a religious war 08/30/11 Keep your health plan? Don't count on it 08/24/11 GOP operatives fear lasting Ron Paul problem 08/16/11 Michele Bachmann and the ‘submissive’ question 08/09/11 Obama partisans ignore facts when bashing Bush 08/02/11 When partisans fling charges of partisanship 07/26/11 Obama could be comeback kid if he heeds Clinton's lessons 07/19/11 Book casts doubt on Obama healthcare story 07/12/11 Controversial budget law begins to pay off 07/04/11 Anti-Mormon bias persists, notably among Dems 06/27/11 Huntsman tries McCain model, but he's no John McCain 06/06/11 Amid media circus, Palin lays out policy positions 05/30/11 GOP condemns Dems' ‘breathtaking’ refusal to produce budget 05/24/11 Eye-for-an-eye filibuster stops Democratic nominee 05/17/11 Amid RomneyCare fight, voters ask: Where's Mitt? 05/10/11 Bin Laden coup won't help Obama in budget fight 05/09/11 Inside the GOP debate: Pawlenty underwhelms, Cain struggles, Santorum scores 05/02/11 Huckabee decision will shape GOP presidential race 04/27/11 Get ready for game of chicken over debt ceiling 04/25/11 McCain: Libyan rebels seek U.S. recognition, might pay for war costs 04/18/11 Have the U.S. and NATO given up on Libya mess? 04/11/11 Reforming entitlements is key to a strong military 04/05/11 Jihadis Who Killed Americans Get U.S. Support in Libya 04/04/11 Unions deploy money and muscle in Battle of Wisconsin 03/30/11 Labor fight in Wisconsin is far from over 03/28/11 Obama fails to grasp the gravity of going to war 03/21/11 Union equates lavish benefits to black civil rights 03/15/11 GOP should heed lesson of 1991: No guts, no glory 03/14/11 GOP focuses on NPR's subsidies, not its politics 03/08/11 While Obama seeks new ideas, his bureaucrats stifle them 02/28/11 Why the GOP shouldn't fear a government shutdown 02/22/11 In Hawaii, a dispiriting glimpse of one-party rule 02/21/11 Obama team uses slippery words to tout budget 02/15/11 Myth and memory: The battle over Reagan's legacy 02/07/11 Invoking Reagan, Palin says ‘this is a time for choosing again’ 01/31/11 With each passing year, Reagan grows larger in the American political imagination 01/24/11 House GOP begins long drive to dismantle Obamacare 01/17/11 GOP gears up again to strip NPR of federal funds 01/10/11 To House GOP, illegal immigration is a jobs issue 01/03/11 Obamacare mess is legacy of Dems' moment of power 12/27/10 Smiling Dems will soon cry ‘Washington is broken’ 12/20/10 Dems are earmark junkies but GOP goes straight 12/13/10 Needed: A ‘more presidential’ Palin 12/06/10 With Dems in a funk, Obama charts a new course 11/29/10 Obama's poll numbers point to his defeat in 2012 11/22/10 Holder ignored risks of civilian terror trials 11/16/10 Dems love facts and science --- except when they don't 11/08/10 Obama, new GOP lawmakers are on collision course 11/01/10 New GOP star on track to defeat Dem legend Russ Feingold 10/26/10 If Dems lose, Obama will blame everyone but himself 10/19/10 Profligate Congress should read its own bills 10/13/10 Why Big Labor couldn't match Glenn Beck's rally 10/11/10 Trash-talking Democrat faces defeat in Florida 10/05/10 A GOP unknown in striking distance of Barney Frank 09/28/10 Administration inflates green-jobs numbers 09/20/10 In Delaware, GOP should target Dems, not O'Donnell 09/14/10 GOP Insiders Wary of Landslide Predictions 08/31/10 For Obamacare supporters, judgment day approaches 08/23/10 Obama has himself to blame for Muslim problem 08/17/10 Cut spending without cutting services? Start here 08/17/10 For Michelle Obama, extravagance dents popularity 08/09/10 Obama's zealous civil rights enforcer gets busy 08/02/10 A battle between Left and Right --- inside the GOP 07/26/10 GOP spoiling for fight over Berwick appointment 07/20/10 How long will the public tolerate Afghan war? 07/12/10 NASA's Muslim outreach: Al Jazeera told first 07/02/10 Legal complaint against Gore is detailed, credible 06/28/10 Obama and Dems heading for electoral disaster 06/21/10 Who told Obama drilling is ‘absolutely safe’? 06/14/10 Billions for ‘green jobs,’ whatever they are 06/07/10 Sestak a no-go for any job. So what was the deal? 05/31/10 As economic worries worsen, White House puts on the glitz 05/25/10 GOP dilemma: Fight Kagan, or go along? 05/11/10 Enforcing nation's immigration laws would be a bargain 05/03/10 How Obama could lose Arizona immigration battle 04/27/10 What's behind the anti-Tea Party hate narrative? 04/20/10 As government expands, beware the post-office example 04/19/10 Who wins in 2010? Good luck reading tea leaves 04/12/10 GOP Obamacare strategy: Try repeal, then cut 04/05/10 Obamacare was mainly aimed at redistributing wealth 03/30/10 Message to Dems: People still don't like Obamacare 03/23/10 The coming consequences of Obamacare 03/16/10 Marco Rubio and the Republicans who love him 03/15/10 GOP hopes town halls take health care off table 03/08/10 Dems turn risky health vote into manhood contest 03/01/10 Why Obama defies the public on health care 02/22/10 South Carolina mulls 2012: Romney? Palin? Huck? 02/16/10 GOP winning war over Miranda rights for terrorists 02/09/10 Who are the 300 terrorists held in U.S. prisons? 02/02/10 Is Obama dissatisfied with being president? 01/19/10 The Republican dilemma: Good Michael or Bad Michael? 01/12/10 Now the lawmakers are figuring out what they didn't know 01/05/10 GOP deserves blame for Democratic excesses 12/29/09 Dems' dreams of a blue West begin to turn red 12/22/09 Why Dems push health care, even if it kills them 11/30/09 Dems' kamikaze mission: Health care by New Year's 11/23/09 Why it's a mistake to bring Gitmo prisoners here 11/16/09 Dems' slick fix: $210 billion of fiscal restraint 11/10/09 Obama can't be community organizer for the world 11/02/09 At key moment, Obama leaves health post unfilled 10/26/09 ‘Fierce urgency' for jobs, not health care’ 10/12/09 Facts hurt Jennings in youth sex controversy 10/05/09 Amid terror threat, Dems chip away at Patriot Act 09/27/09 In Afghanistan, let U.S. troops be warriors 09/21/09 Under fire, Democrats abandon ACORN in drove 09/14/09 Dems stifle Republican health care plans 09/08/09 For Dems, a serious Charlie Rangel problem 09/07/09 Obama's speech: Wrong setting for a sales job 09/01/09 What happened to the antiwar movement? 08/24/09 Why Dems may jam through health care plan 08/17/09 GOP thinks the unthinkable: Victory in 2010 08/10/09 The empty words of a journalist turned flack 08/03/09 Probe finds new clues in AmeriCorps IG scandal 07/27/09 Obamacare haunted by unkept promises of stimulus 07/20/09 Why the GOP failed the Sotomayor test 07/13/09 What the GOPers will ask Sotomayor 06/29/09 Serious questions remain for Mark Sanford 06/22/09 How GOPers can crack the AmeriCorps scandal 06/16/09 Worried about Sotomayor? Consider Andre Davis 06/08/09 Can Mitch Daniels save the GOP? 06/01/09 When the Dems derailed a Latino nominee 05/26/09 Why the GOP will defeat Obama on healthcare 05/19/09 Rosy report can't hide stimulus problems 05/12/09 The Reagan legacy is the man himself 05/05/09 Sen. Specter, meet your new friends 04/27/09 Ted Olson: ‘Torture' probes will never end 04/20/09 Who's Laughing at the ‘Axis of Evil’ today? 04/14/09 Congress needs Google to track stimulus money 04/06/09 Beyond AIG: A bill to let Big Government set your salary 03/30/09 On Spending and the Deficit, McCain Was Right 03/24/09 It's Obama's crisis now 03/17/09: Geithner-Obama economics: A joke that's not funny © 2009, NEA

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