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Jewish World Review Nov 8, 2011 / 11 Mar-Cheshvan 5772 Tim Pawlenty, the man who coulda been a contender By Byron York http://www.JewishWorldReview.com | DES MOINES, IOWA -- This could have been Tim Pawlenty's moment. With many Republicans writing off Rick Perry, worried Herman Cain can't last, and perpetually dissatisfied with Mitt Romney, the former Minnesota governor might have gotten another look, had he stayed in the race. Given all the changes that have taken place in the GOP presidential contest, who knows? Pawlenty might have been a serious contender by now. Instead, Pawlenty is at home, having quit immediately after finishing third in the Aug. 13 Ames, Iowa, Republican straw poll. He has endorsed Romney -- in what seemed a not-terribly-enthusiastic gesture -- and he has publicly mused that maybe he got out too early. Indeed, there must be moments when Pawlenty kicks himself for bailing out of a race that proved much more volatile than anyone thought. Pawlenty has said as much. In an interview with Minnesota Public Radio a few weeks ago, he was asked whether he regretted quitting when he did. "If we would have known then what we know now, would we have made some different decisions?" he replied. "Sure we would have, and I regret not making different decisions." It seems like a million years ago, but Pawlenty surrendered when it appeared that Rep. Michele Bachmann, having just won the straw poll, would be a major force in Iowa. That, along with the much-anticipated entry of Texas Gov. Rick Perry into the race, appeared to make it impossible for the cash-strapped Pawlenty to establish himself as the main opponent to front-runner Mitt Romney. So Pawlenty bailed. "It made a lot of sense at the time," says a Pawlenty campaign insider. "You looked at Romney, who was strong, and you looked at Bachmann, who was likely to win Iowa, and you looked at Perry, who was going to fill the anti-Romney space, and there wasn't enough room for Pawlenty." But then it all changed. "I don't think anybody at the time could have predicted how quickly both Bachmann and Perry would collapse," the insider says. There's no doubt Pawlenty didn't excite voters in the early states. Put it more bluntly: He was dull. But given what we've learned about his competitors since then, would that be so bad in today's race? It seems safe to say that if Pawlenty had stayed in the running long enough, and as troubles developed in rival campaigns, voters might have looked at one another and said, "Now, why was it we didn't like Tim Pawlenty?" Dullness probably doesn't top their list of concerns right now. As for gaffes, Pawlenty's big mistake -- again, this seems like something from a bygone era -- was that he failed to back up his charge that Romney's health plan in Massachusetts was the equivalent of "Obamneycare." Pawlenty coined the word during an appearance on "Fox News Sunday" on June 12 and then backed off at a GOP debate the next day when he had the chance to criticize Romney face-to-face. That was thought to be a critical error at the time. But given everything that has happened since, it doesn't seem like a capital offense today. But suppose Pawlenty had stayed in. Would it have mattered? A recent Des Moines Register poll found that just 5 percent of respondents said they would support Pawlenty if he were still running. Of course, he's been out of the picture since August. Had he been campaigning steadily since then, while other candidates faltered, the picture might be different. Random chats with Iowa voters suggest Pawlenty would have earned a second chance. "Absolutely," said one woman at a Rick Santorum event in Fairfield, Iowa, when asked whether she would consider Pawlenty if he were still running. "I met him, and he had the best conservative record. He's a little dry, but I thought that he was a great candidate." "Definitely," said another woman. "I liked what he had to say. I was shocked when he dropped out. I thought it was too soon." It's that kind of opinion that drives some Pawlenty associates nuts. "If Newt Gingrich is getting a second look, Pawlenty certainly would have, too," says a second insider. "He would be in contention today." But he's not. After his I-regret-it remarks on public radio, Pawlenty has stopped talking about what might have been and has turned into an effective advocate for Romney. But just because he's not talking about it doesn't mean he's not thinking about it. Given all that's happened, how could he not? Every weekday JewishWorldReview.com publishes what many in the media and Washington consider "must-reading". Sign up for the daily JWR update. It's free. Just click here. Comment on Byron York's column by clicking here. Previously: 11/07/11 Gingrich big winner at key Iowa event 10/31/11 Perry's right: Republicans drowning in debates 10/25/11 Romney health plan still faces challenge from GOP 10/18/11 Lesson of Perry's candidacy: Think before you run 10/06/11 In veepstakes, candidates deaf to Rubio ‘no’ 10/04/11 Cain's 9-9-9 plan sounds good, but will it work? 09/27/11 Media bias 101 09/20/11 Obama plagued by Dems' ingratitude 09/13/11 Will immigration cripple Perry's bid? 09/06/11 Left paints the campaign as a religious war 08/30/11 Keep your health plan? Don't count on it 08/24/11 GOP operatives fear lasting Ron Paul problem 08/16/11 Michele Bachmann and the ‘submissive’ question 08/09/11 Obama partisans ignore facts when bashing Bush 08/02/11 When partisans fling charges of partisanship 07/26/11 Obama could be comeback kid if he heeds Clinton's lessons 07/19/11 Book casts doubt on Obama healthcare story 07/12/11 Controversial budget law begins to pay off 07/04/11 Anti-Mormon bias persists, notably among Dems 06/27/11 Huntsman tries McCain model, but he's no John McCain 06/06/11 Amid media circus, Palin lays out policy positions 05/30/11 GOP condemns Dems' ‘breathtaking’ refusal to produce budget 05/24/11 Eye-for-an-eye filibuster stops Democratic nominee 05/17/11 Amid RomneyCare fight, voters ask: Where's Mitt? 05/10/11 Bin Laden coup won't help Obama in budget fight 05/09/11 Inside the GOP debate: Pawlenty underwhelms, Cain struggles, Santorum scores 05/02/11 Huckabee decision will shape GOP presidential race 04/27/11 Get ready for game of chicken over debt ceiling 04/25/11 McCain: Libyan rebels seek U.S. recognition, might pay for war costs 04/18/11 Have the U.S. and NATO given up on Libya mess? 04/11/11 Reforming entitlements is key to a strong military 04/05/11 Jihadis Who Killed Americans Get U.S. Support in Libya 04/04/11 Unions deploy money and muscle in Battle of Wisconsin 03/30/11 Labor fight in Wisconsin is far from over 03/28/11 Obama fails to grasp the gravity of going to war 03/21/11 Union equates lavish benefits to black civil rights 03/15/11 GOP should heed lesson of 1991: No guts, no glory 03/14/11 GOP focuses on NPR's subsidies, not its politics 03/08/11 While Obama seeks new ideas, his bureaucrats stifle them 02/28/11 Why the GOP shouldn't fear a government shutdown 02/22/11 In Hawaii, a dispiriting glimpse of one-party rule 02/21/11 Obama team uses slippery words to tout budget 02/15/11 Myth and memory: The battle over Reagan's legacy 02/07/11 Invoking Reagan, Palin says ‘this is a time for choosing again’ 01/31/11 With each passing year, Reagan grows larger in the American political imagination 01/24/11 House GOP begins long drive to dismantle Obamacare 01/17/11 GOP gears up again to strip NPR of federal funds 01/10/11 To House GOP, illegal immigration is a jobs issue 01/03/11 Obamacare mess is legacy of Dems' moment of power 12/27/10 Smiling Dems will soon cry ‘Washington is broken’ 12/20/10 Dems are earmark junkies but GOP goes straight 12/13/10 Needed: A ‘more presidential’ Palin 12/06/10 With Dems in a funk, Obama charts a new course 11/29/10 Obama's poll numbers point to his defeat in 2012 11/22/10 Holder ignored risks of civilian terror trials 11/16/10 Dems love facts and science --- except when they don't 11/08/10 Obama, new GOP lawmakers are on collision course 11/01/10 New GOP star on track to defeat Dem legend Russ Feingold 10/26/10 If Dems lose, Obama will blame everyone but himself 10/19/10 Profligate Congress should read its own bills 10/13/10 Why Big Labor couldn't match Glenn Beck's rally 10/11/10 Trash-talking Democrat faces defeat in Florida 10/05/10 A GOP unknown in striking distance of Barney Frank 09/28/10 Administration inflates green-jobs numbers 09/20/10 In Delaware, GOP should target Dems, not O'Donnell 09/14/10 GOP Insiders Wary of Landslide Predictions 08/31/10 For Obamacare supporters, judgment day approaches 08/23/10 Obama has himself to blame for Muslim problem 08/17/10 Cut spending without cutting services? Start here 08/17/10 For Michelle Obama, extravagance dents popularity 08/09/10 Obama's zealous civil rights enforcer gets busy 08/02/10 A battle between Left and Right --- inside the GOP 07/26/10 GOP spoiling for fight over Berwick appointment 07/20/10 How long will the public tolerate Afghan war? 07/12/10 NASA's Muslim outreach: Al Jazeera told first 07/02/10 Legal complaint against Gore is detailed, credible 06/28/10 Obama and Dems heading for electoral disaster 06/21/10 Who told Obama drilling is ‘absolutely safe’? 06/14/10 Billions for ‘green jobs,’ whatever they are 06/07/10 Sestak a no-go for any job. So what was the deal? 05/31/10 As economic worries worsen, White House puts on the glitz 05/25/10 GOP dilemma: Fight Kagan, or go along? 05/11/10 Enforcing nation's immigration laws would be a bargain 05/03/10 How Obama could lose Arizona immigration battle 04/27/10 What's behind the anti-Tea Party hate narrative? 04/20/10 As government expands, beware the post-office example 04/19/10 Who wins in 2010? Good luck reading tea leaves 04/12/10 GOP Obamacare strategy: Try repeal, then cut 04/05/10 Obamacare was mainly aimed at redistributing wealth 03/30/10 Message to Dems: People still don't like Obamacare 03/23/10 The coming consequences of Obamacare 03/16/10 Marco Rubio and the Republicans who love him 03/15/10 GOP hopes town halls take health care off table 03/08/10 Dems turn risky health vote into manhood contest 03/01/10 Why Obama defies the public on health care 02/22/10 South Carolina mulls 2012: Romney? Palin? Huck? 02/16/10 GOP winning war over Miranda rights for terrorists 02/09/10 Who are the 300 terrorists held in U.S. prisons? 02/02/10 Is Obama dissatisfied with being president? 01/19/10 The Republican dilemma: Good Michael or Bad Michael? 01/12/10 Now the lawmakers are figuring out what they didn't know 01/05/10 GOP deserves blame for Democratic excesses 12/29/09 Dems' dreams of a blue West begin to turn red 12/22/09 Why Dems push health care, even if it kills them 11/30/09 Dems' kamikaze mission: Health care by New Year's 11/23/09 Why it's a mistake to bring Gitmo prisoners here 11/16/09 Dems' slick fix: $210 billion of fiscal restraint 11/10/09 Obama can't be community organizer for the world 11/02/09 At key moment, Obama leaves health post unfilled 10/26/09 ‘Fierce urgency' for jobs, not health care’ 10/12/09 Facts hurt Jennings in youth sex controversy 10/05/09 Amid terror threat, Dems chip away at Patriot Act 09/27/09 In Afghanistan, let U.S. troops be warriors 09/21/09 Under fire, Democrats abandon ACORN in drove 09/14/09 Dems stifle Republican health care plans 09/08/09 For Dems, a serious Charlie Rangel problem 09/07/09 Obama's speech: Wrong setting for a sales job 09/01/09 What happened to the antiwar movement? 08/24/09 Why Dems may jam through health care plan 08/17/09 GOP thinks the unthinkable: Victory in 2010 08/10/09 The empty words of a journalist turned flack 08/03/09 Probe finds new clues in AmeriCorps IG scandal 07/27/09 Obamacare haunted by unkept promises of stimulus 07/20/09 Why the GOP failed the Sotomayor test 07/13/09 What the GOPers will ask Sotomayor 06/29/09 Serious questions remain for Mark Sanford 06/22/09 How GOPers can crack the AmeriCorps scandal 06/16/09 Worried about Sotomayor? Consider Andre Davis 06/08/09 Can Mitch Daniels save the GOP? 06/01/09 When the Dems derailed a Latino nominee 05/26/09 Why the GOP will defeat Obama on healthcare 05/19/09 Rosy report can't hide stimulus problems 05/12/09 The Reagan legacy is the man himself 05/05/09 Sen. Specter, meet your new friends 04/27/09 Ted Olson: ‘Torture' probes will never end 04/20/09 Who's Laughing at the ‘Axis of Evil’ today? 04/14/09 Congress needs Google to track stimulus money 04/06/09 Beyond AIG: A bill to let Big Government set your salary 03/30/09 On Spending and the Deficit, McCain Was Right 03/24/09 It's Obama's crisis now 03/17/09: Geithner-Obama economics: A joke that's not funny © 2009, NEA

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