Home
In this issue
April 9, 2014

Jonathan Tobin: Why Did Kerry Lie About Israeli Blame?

Samuel G. Freedman: A resolution 70 years later for a father's unsettling legacy of ashes from Dachau

Jessica Ivins: A resolution 70 years later for a father's unsettling legacy of ashes from Dachau

Kim Giles: Asking for help is not weakness

Kathy Kristof and Barbara Hoch Marcus: 7 Great Growth Israeli Stocks

Matthew Mientka: How Beans, Peas, And Chickpeas Cleanse Bad Cholesterol and Lowers Risk of Heart Disease

Sabrina Bachai: 5 At-Home Treatments For Headaches

The Kosher Gourmet by Daniel Neman Have yourself a matzo ball: The secrets bubby never told you and recipes she could have never imagined

April 8, 2014

Lori Nawyn: At Your Wit's End and Back: Finding Peace

Susan B. Garland and Rachel L. Sheedy: Strategies Married Couples Can Use to Boost Benefits

David Muhlbaum: Smart Tax Deductions Non-Itemizers Can Claim

Jill Weisenberger, M.S., R.D.N., C.D.E : Before You Lose Your Mental Edge

Dana Dovey: Coffee Drinkers Rejoice! Your Cup Of Joe Can Prevent Death From Liver Disease

Chris Weller: Electric 'Thinking Cap' Puts Your Brain Power Into High Gear

The Kosher Gourmet by Marlene Parrish A gift of hazelnuts keeps giving --- for a variety of nutty recipes: Entree, side, soup, dessert

April 4, 2014

Rabbi David Gutterman: The Word for Nothing Means Everything

Charles Krauthammer: Kerry's folly, Chapter 3

Amy Peterson: A life of love: How to build lasting relationships with your children

John Ericson: Older Women: Save Your Heart, Prevent Stroke Don't Drink Diet

John Ericson: Why 50 million Americans will still have spring allergies after taking meds

Cameron Huddleston: Best and Worst Buys of April 2014

Stacy Rapacon: Great Mutual Funds for Young Investors

Sarah Boesveld: Teacher keeps promise to mail thousands of former students letters written by their past selves

The Kosher Gourmet by Sharon Thompson Anyone can make a salad, you say. But can they make a great salad? (SECRETS, TESTED TECHNIQUES + 4 RECIPES, INCLUDING DRESSINGS)

April 2, 2014

Paul Greenberg: Death and joy in the spring

Dan Barry: Should South Carolina Jews be forced to maintain this chimney built by Germans serving the Nazis?

Mayra Bitsko: Save me! An alien took over my child's personality

Frank Clayton: Get happy: 20 scientifically proven happiness activities

Susan Scutti: It's Genetic! Obesity and the 'Carb Breakdown' Gene

Lecia Bushak: Why Hand Sanitizer May Actually Harm Your Health

Stacy Rapacon: Great Funds You Can Own for $500 or Less

Cameron Huddleston: 7 Ways to Save on Home Decor

The Kosher Gourmet by Steve Petusevsky Exploring ingredients as edible-stuffed containers (TWO RECIPES + TIPS & TECHINQUES)

Jewish World Review Oct. 21, 2009 / 3 Mar-Cheshvan 5770

Winning by default?

By Jack Kelly

>



http://www.JewishWorldReview.com | There'll be gubernatorial elections in Virginia and New Jersey Nov. 3. Supporters of the winners will declare these were referenda on President Obama. The losers will say the races were decided by local factors. But if Republicans win both, skittish Democrats (84 in the House represent districts that were carried be either George W. Bush in 2004 or John McCain in 2008) might conclude bucking public opinion on health care could be political suicide.


In Virginia, Republican Bob McDonnell has a comfortable lead (8.8 percentage points in the RealClear Politics average of polls) over Democrat Creigh Deeds. In New Jersey, Republican Chris Christie leads incumbent Democratic governor Jon Corzine by less than a percentage point in the RCP average.


Since New Jersey is a heavily Democratic state, and Virginia a swing state, it stands to reason the GOP candidate should be doing better in the Old Dominion. In addition, Gov. Corzine has outspent Mr. Christie 4-1, while Mr. McDonnell has enjoyed a fund-raising edge over Mr. Deeds. The peculiar thing is that a smaller proportion of the electorate in New Jersey supports Gov. Corzine (39.8 percent in the RCP average) than the electorate in Virginia supports Mr. Deeds (42.5 percent in the RCP average). The race is a dead heat because in New Jersey there is a third candidate, independent Chris Daggett. He had 13.6 percent in the RCP average.


Mr. Daggett is a de facto ally of Mr. Corzine. Mr. Daggett can't possibly win, but he could take enough votes from Mr. Christie to re-elect the deeply unpopular governor.


Some suspect Mr. Daggett, a moderate Republican who voted for Barack Obama last year, was recruited for this purpose. But the fault is chiefly Mr. Christie's. He's permitted Mr. Daggett to run to his right.


"Christie is running the worst campaign I have ever seen," a "veteran national Republican consultant" told Walter Shapiro of Politics Daily. "Everyone knows there's a tax revolt going on except the Christie campaign. Instead he wasted a month talking about mammograms."


Special elections so far this year show a trend toward the GOP.


Republicans have won state legislative seats long held by Democrats in Maine, New Hampshire, Delaware, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, Alabama, Florida and Oklahoma. In normally Democratic Albuquerque Oct. 6, a Republican ousted a three term Democratic mayor.


The apparent GOP revival has little to do with anything Republicans have done. There's a saying in British politics: "The Opposition doesn't win elections. The Government loses them."


That's true on this side of the pond, too. Independents have shifted allegiance not because they like Republicans better, but because they now hate and fear Democrats more. But as the Christie campaign illustrates, there is no opportunity so great that Republicans can't screw it up.


This is especially true in New York's 23rd congressional district, in which there is an election Nov. 3 to replace John McHugh, who resigned to become Secretary of the Army.


The 23rd is one of the few Republican leaning districts left in New York. With the national mood shifting against Democrats, it should be a slam dunk for the GOP. But Democrat Bill Owens is favored, because local GOP bosses picked a candidate, Dede Scozzafava, who is to Mr. Owens' left. Both a social liberal and a big spender, she's connected to the radical group ACORN.


There is a third candidate, Conservative Doug Hoffman, who is closing in on Ms. Scozzafava. The race pits the national GOP leadership, which is pouring big bucks into Ms. Scozzafava's campaign, against the party's base.


"The distinctions between Republicans and Democrats...are being overshadowed by what we might call the Court Party — made up of the well-connected...who see themselves as potters of the great American clay...and the Country Party — the many more who are tired of being treated as clay," said Princeton Prof. Angelo Codevilla.


"The polls do not capture the extent of the voter anger out there at the two parties," Mr. Daggett told Mr. Shapiro.


With Court Party Republicans embracing Ms. Scozzafava, and potential 2012 rivals Mitt Romney and Mike Huckabee maintaining a cowardly neutrality, Sarah Palin could seize leadership of the Country Party by endorsing Mr. Hoffman. Does she have the wit and the guts to do so?

Every weekday JewishWorldReview.com publishes what many in the media and Washington consider "must-reading". Sign up for the daily JWR update. It's free. Just click here.

Comment by clicking here.

JWR contributor Jack Kelly, a former Marine and Green Beret, was a deputy assistant secretary of the Air Force in the Reagan administration.

Jack Kelly Archives


© 2009, Jack Kelly

Columnists

Toons

Lifestyles