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February 10, 2012
Lisa M. Krieger: Man with defibrillator demands access to his own heart's information
David G. Savage: Why activists may not be in a hurry to have High Court rule on alternative marriage
February 9, 2012
Laura McMullen: 10 Least Expensive Public Schools for Out-of-State Students
Kimberly Palmer: How to actually enjoy -- relaxing, financially -- your vacation
February 8, 2012
Warren Richey: Why momentous Prop. 8 ruling might not satisfy gay-rights groups
Menachem Wecker: Though Controversial, LL.M.'s Can Lead to Specialized Legal Jobs
The Kosher Gourmet byDana Velden: Going to the bother of making soup? You know it better be good. This CREAM OF TOMATO SOUP certainly is! And it's a cinch to make, too (Includes techinques and serving secrets)
February 7, 2012
Frank J. Gaffney, Jr.: Caught off-guard? President's Super Bowl interview with Matt Lauer gives those who need a reason not to vote for him, a darn good one
Suzanne Bohan: Leaping lizards! Tiny reptiles advancing robot design
February 6, 2012
Jonathan Tobin: Iran Threatens Israel With Destruction, But the New York Times Doesn't Hear It
Jeffrey Fleishman: In newly democratic Egypt, tens of democracy activists jailed, to stand trial; their groups are 'threatening the stability of the homeland'
Julie Deardorff : Researchers say antioxidants may not be that effective and could do more harm than good
Mark Clayton: How did Anonymous hackers eavesdrop on FBI and Scotland Yard?
February 3, 2012
Edmund Sanders : Israeli official says Iran is creating missile that could reach East Coast of US
Victoria Kim: Immigrant-smuggling ring used black drivers to avoid racial profiling
February 2, 2012
Jim Carney: Wrong number call may have saved her life
Reza Kahlili : Ex-CIA spy in Iran's Revolutionary Guard: What Obama doesn't grasp about striking deals with Tehran
Tina Susman: For woodchuck rescuer, every day is Groundhog Day
February 1, 2012
Brian Bennett: US officials see increasing threat of domestic attack from Iran
Emily Brandon: How to Take Advantage of New 401(k) Fee Disclosures
January 31, 2012
January 30, 2012
Paul Richter and Ramin Mostaghim: Misreading Teheran's limits -- deadly and economically devastating as they may be -- is a risk administration, Europe seem willing to take
Suzanne Bohan: Warning: Nap-deprived tots missing more than sleep, study finds
Meg Handley: Banks Revamping Rewards Programs to Woo Customers
January 27, 2012
Caroline B. Glick: Obama: Of course I intend to prevent a nuclear holocaust . . . in a few months
Yochonon Donn: In liberal New York City, fervently-Orthodox Jews may soon be getting a district to call their own
Jeannine Stein: An inflated ego and thinking you're 'all that' doesn't just make others sick of you, it can make you ill
Katy Hopkins: New budget rules may affect how much money you get for college
January 26, 2012
Ed Koch: To the New York Times, calling for the murder of Jews by those capable of having their incitement taken seriously isn't news
Jeannine Stein: Mental illness struck one in five U.S. adults in 2010: Report
January 25, 2012
Richard Simon: House passes two bills endorsing the use of religious symbols at military memorials
Fred Weir: Putin: Multiethnic Russia cannot survive as a US-style 'melting pot'; must find its own way
Susan Johnston: 5 Sneaky Coupon Strategies Consumers Should Watch Out For
January 24, 2012
Carol Clark: The price of your soul: How your brain decides whether to 'sell out'
Caroline B. Glick: America lost most in 'Arab Spring'. Sadly, many voters still don't grasp the extent
Warren Richey: Drug criminal scores win in GPS ruling from conservative-leaning high court
Erika Bolstad: Black conservatives gather to talk about gaining strength
January 23, 2012
Melissa Dribben: Jewish voters to play a key role in Florida's Republican primary
Jordan Rau: In quest to grow, Catholic hospital system will announce this morning its break from church
Ali Safi: U.S. envoy gives Taliban terms for peace talks
January 19, 2012
January 18, 2012
January 17, 2012
Frank J. Gaffney Jr.: No-kidding red lines: U.S. response to an Iranian nuke may be bluster, but Israel's won't be
David G. Savage: They sued their principals after slandering them online --- now the cases are headed to the Supreme Court
David Francis: Where to Invest in 2012: With stocks expected to rebound, opportunity abounds for investors
January 13, 2012
Ben Lynfield: Israeli lawmakers move to annex Jewish Judea, one museum at a time
Alexia Elejalde-Ruiz: Thriving through touch: Gentle massage helps older people with low mobility improve in mind and body
January 12, 2012
Warren Richey: Landmark Supreme Court ruling a 'resounding win' for religious groups
Warren Richey: Supreme Court says no to new rule on eyewitness testimony
John Fauber : Statins found to raise diabetes risk in postmenopausal women
Katy Hopkins : Consider This Before You Pay for an Online Degree
The Kosher Gourmet by Joseph Erdos: This mushroom and barley soup has an intense -- almost nutty -- flavor that mixes robust with Middle East. It has creaminess without cream
January 11, 2012
Shari Roan: Millions of atrial fibrillation sufferers at risk for devastating, but preventable, stroke
Tom Hussain: Pakistan -- recipient of more than $21 billion in civilian and military aid -- speeds pursuit of Iranian pipeline, defying US
David G. Savage: High court signals it won't be loosening TV's 'indecency' rules
Stephen Ceasar: Oklahoma's Islamic law amendment can't go into effect, court rules
January 10, 2012
Reza Kahlili: From an ex-CIA spy: US must exploit new split in Iran's Revolutionary Guard
Karen Kaplan: Study: Nicotine replacement products ineffective when used in real-life situations
January 9, 2012
Michael Doyle: Put through legal hell over dream home, couple fought back hard --- all the way to Supreme Court
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Jewish World Review
Sept. 16, 2008
/ 16 Elul 5768
Bid'n his time?
By
Jack Kelly
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http://www.JewishWorldReview.com |
In what now seems the long ago days between the time Sen. John McCain chose Sarah
Palin as his running mate and her acceptance speech, there was considerable
speculation in the news media that Sen. McCain would drop her from the ticket.
This was entirely a media invention. There was no sentiment among Republicans for
replacing Ms. Palin, and Sen. McCain whose loyalty to his friends nearly cost him
his life in Vietnam is not the kind of person who would desert his choice.
And there was a very practical reason why this option never was considered. Sen.
George McGovern was going to lose in 1972 no matter what, but the final nail in his
coffin was when he dumped running mate Thomas Eagleton after it was revealed Sen.
Eagleton had had shock treatments for an unspecified mental illness. With one
stroke, Sen. McGovern called into question both his judgment and his loyalty.
There has, of course, been no further speculation about dropping Sarah Palin from
the ticket after her boffo performance in St. Paul. But my friend Steve Maloney
(who first got me interested in Sarah Palin) says his sources in the Democratic
Party are telling him Barack Obama is being pressured to dump Sen. Joseph Biden from
the ticket and replace him with Hillary Clinton, the switch to come just after the
vice presidential debate Oct. 2. Speculation about such a switch has emerged on
several left-wing blogs.
"It's time to dump Biden and replace him with Sen. Hillary Clinton," said Andy
Ostroy on the Huffington Post Monday. "I'm starting to think that if Team Obama
doesn't do something dramatic fast, it's gonna lose this election."
What might prompt such an act of desperation? The polls which indicate the race
is a statistical dead heat are cause for concern, but not for panic.
This might be the reason:
"Party elders also believe the Obama camp is in denial about warnings from
Democratic pollsters that his true standing is four to six points lower than that in
published polls because of hidden racism from voters," wrote Tim Shipman in the
London Telegraph Sunday.
"While the polling is close I believe it is far worse than the numbers reflect given
social apprehension of middle of the road uncommitted respondents to appear racist
by not supporting Obama," wrote former Democratic congressional candidate Paul
Hackett on the Daily Kos blog. "Thus instead of being down in Ohio by 3 or 4 points
I would argue that for planning purposes the working assumption should indicate that
Obama is down in Ohio by roughly 10 points."
If this is true (and I don't think that it is), then Sen. Obama is in very deep
kimche. There are 12 states in which this election will be decided. Seven
Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado, New Mexico and Nevada were carried by
President Bush in 2004. Five Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Minnesota and
New Hampshire were carried by Sen. John Kerry.
To win, a candidate must amass 270 electoral votes. President Bush won 286 in 2004,
so, Sen. McCain has 16 to play with. He could lose Iowa (7) and either Colorado
(9), New Mexico (5) or Nevada (5) and still win the election.
As a practical matter, Sen. McCain can't win unless he carries both Florida (27) and
Ohio (20), but he's already leading in both states, and if Mr. Hackett is right,
then they're already out of Sen. Obama's reach.
Also as a practical matter, Sen. Obama can't win if he loses either Pennsylvania
(21) or Michigan (17). The public polls indicate both states are tossups, but if
Sen. McCain has a hidden 4-6 percentage point advantage, then he has the lead in
both. New York, New Jersey, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Washington state and New
Hampshire might also switch from blue to red, while the only red state in which Sen.
McCain would be behind is Iowa.
State by state polls should be taken with a grain of salt. A recent poll indicated
a 20 percentage point lead for Sen. McCain in North Carolina, and a statistical tie
in Virginia.
North Carolina was, on average, three percentage points more Republican than
Virginia in the last two presidential elections. It's inconceivable nearly 20
percentage points could be separating them now. The massive turnout at a
McCain-Palin rally in one of the bluest counties in Virginia a week ago suggests the
North Carolina poll may be the more accurate.
Could a "Hail Hillary" pass change the grim arithmetic facing Sen. Obama? We may
find out.
Every weekday JewishWorldReview.com publishes what many in the media and Washington consider "must-reading". Sign up for the daily JWR update. It's free. Just click here.
JWR contributor Jack Kelly, a former Marine and Green Beret, was a
deputy assistant secretary of the Air Force in the Reagan
administration. Comment by clicking here.
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© 2008, Jack Kelly
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