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February 10, 2012
Lisa M. Krieger: Man with defibrillator demands access to his own heart's information
David G. Savage: Why activists may not be in a hurry to have High Court rule on alternative marriage
February 9, 2012
Laura McMullen: 10 Least Expensive Public Schools for Out-of-State Students
Kimberly Palmer: How to actually enjoy -- relaxing, financially -- your vacation
February 8, 2012
Warren Richey: Why momentous Prop. 8 ruling might not satisfy gay-rights groups
Menachem Wecker: Though Controversial, LL.M.'s Can Lead to Specialized Legal Jobs
The Kosher Gourmet byDana Velden: Going to the bother of making soup? You know it better be good. This CREAM OF TOMATO SOUP certainly is! And it's a cinch to make, too (Includes techinques and serving secrets)
February 7, 2012
Frank J. Gaffney, Jr.: Caught off-guard? President's Super Bowl interview with Matt Lauer gives those who need a reason not to vote for him, a darn good one
Suzanne Bohan: Leaping lizards! Tiny reptiles advancing robot design
February 6, 2012
Jonathan Tobin: Iran Threatens Israel With Destruction, But the New York Times Doesn't Hear It
Jeffrey Fleishman: In newly democratic Egypt, tens of democracy activists jailed, to stand trial; their groups are 'threatening the stability of the homeland'
Julie Deardorff : Researchers say antioxidants may not be that effective and could do more harm than good
Mark Clayton: How did Anonymous hackers eavesdrop on FBI and Scotland Yard?
February 3, 2012
Edmund Sanders : Israeli official says Iran is creating missile that could reach East Coast of US
Victoria Kim: Immigrant-smuggling ring used black drivers to avoid racial profiling
February 2, 2012
Jim Carney: Wrong number call may have saved her life
Reza Kahlili : Ex-CIA spy in Iran's Revolutionary Guard: What Obama doesn't grasp about striking deals with Tehran
Tina Susman: For woodchuck rescuer, every day is Groundhog Day
February 1, 2012
Brian Bennett: US officials see increasing threat of domestic attack from Iran
Emily Brandon: How to Take Advantage of New 401(k) Fee Disclosures
January 31, 2012
January 30, 2012
Paul Richter and Ramin Mostaghim: Misreading Teheran's limits -- deadly and economically devastating as they may be -- is a risk administration, Europe seem willing to take
Suzanne Bohan: Warning: Nap-deprived tots missing more than sleep, study finds
Meg Handley: Banks Revamping Rewards Programs to Woo Customers
January 27, 2012
Caroline B. Glick: Obama: Of course I intend to prevent a nuclear holocaust . . . in a few months
Yochonon Donn: In liberal New York City, fervently-Orthodox Jews may soon be getting a district to call their own
Jeannine Stein: An inflated ego and thinking you're 'all that' doesn't just make others sick of you, it can make you ill
Katy Hopkins: New budget rules may affect how much money you get for college
January 26, 2012
Ed Koch: To the New York Times, calling for the murder of Jews by those capable of having their incitement taken seriously isn't news
Jeannine Stein: Mental illness struck one in five U.S. adults in 2010: Report
January 25, 2012
Richard Simon: House passes two bills endorsing the use of religious symbols at military memorials
Fred Weir: Putin: Multiethnic Russia cannot survive as a US-style 'melting pot'; must find its own way
Susan Johnston: 5 Sneaky Coupon Strategies Consumers Should Watch Out For
January 24, 2012
Carol Clark: The price of your soul: How your brain decides whether to 'sell out'
Caroline B. Glick: America lost most in 'Arab Spring'. Sadly, many voters still don't grasp the extent
Warren Richey: Drug criminal scores win in GPS ruling from conservative-leaning high court
Erika Bolstad: Black conservatives gather to talk about gaining strength
January 23, 2012
Melissa Dribben: Jewish voters to play a key role in Florida's Republican primary
Jordan Rau: In quest to grow, Catholic hospital system will announce this morning its break from church
Ali Safi: U.S. envoy gives Taliban terms for peace talks
January 19, 2012
January 18, 2012
January 17, 2012
Frank J. Gaffney Jr.: No-kidding red lines: U.S. response to an Iranian nuke may be bluster, but Israel's won't be
David G. Savage: They sued their principals after slandering them online --- now the cases are headed to the Supreme Court
David Francis: Where to Invest in 2012: With stocks expected to rebound, opportunity abounds for investors
January 13, 2012
Ben Lynfield: Israeli lawmakers move to annex Jewish Judea, one museum at a time
Alexia Elejalde-Ruiz: Thriving through touch: Gentle massage helps older people with low mobility improve in mind and body
January 12, 2012
Warren Richey: Landmark Supreme Court ruling a 'resounding win' for religious groups
Warren Richey: Supreme Court says no to new rule on eyewitness testimony
John Fauber : Statins found to raise diabetes risk in postmenopausal women
Katy Hopkins : Consider This Before You Pay for an Online Degree
The Kosher Gourmet by Joseph Erdos: This mushroom and barley soup has an intense -- almost nutty -- flavor that mixes robust with Middle East. It has creaminess without cream
January 11, 2012
Shari Roan: Millions of atrial fibrillation sufferers at risk for devastating, but preventable, stroke
Tom Hussain: Pakistan -- recipient of more than $21 billion in civilian and military aid -- speeds pursuit of Iranian pipeline, defying US
David G. Savage: High court signals it won't be loosening TV's 'indecency' rules
Stephen Ceasar: Oklahoma's Islamic law amendment can't go into effect, court rules
January 10, 2012
Reza Kahlili: From an ex-CIA spy: US must exploit new split in Iran's Revolutionary Guard
Karen Kaplan: Study: Nicotine replacement products ineffective when used in real-life situations
January 9, 2012
Michael Doyle: Put through legal hell over dream home, couple fought back hard --- all the way to Supreme Court
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Jewish World Review
July 31, 2006
/ 6 Menachem-Av, 5766
The Dems can win the House
By
Dick Morris and Eileen McGann
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http://www.JewishWorldReview.com |
The conventional wisdom is that the Republicans have locked up the House of Representatives by canny and undemocratic gerrymandering of the district lines. But a close examination of the 2004 election returns indicates that GOP control of the House could well be in jeopardy.
In 2004, Americans voted for Republicans over Democrats for the House by 59 million to 56 million - a Republican advantage of three percentage points. The result was a body with 234 Republicans and 201 Democrats. But current polls indicate a decisive generic preference for Democrats for Congress. Fox News polling in May, for example, showed an eight-point Democratic edge in congressional balloting. If the Democrats can maintain anything approaching that margin, they may well retake control of the House.
And there are plenty of vulnerable Republican seats for the taking. Seven House Republicans who won with less than 60 percent of the vote in 2004 are retiring. These open seats are very likely targets for a Democratic takeover. (Only one similarly situated Democrat is leaving the House). Among Republicans seeking re-election, 16 won last time with less than 55 percent of the vote; another 31 pulled 55 percent to 60 percent. A strong Democratic trend could wipe out many of these Republican legislators.
The Senate (which is based on state lines and so can't be gerrymandered) presents another bright picture for the Democrats. They need a gain of six seats to control the body, and are within striking distance of five incumbent Republicans - Mike DeWine (Ohio), Jim Talent (Mo.), Lincoln Chaffee (R.I.), Conrad Burns (Mont.) and Rick Santorum (Pa.). Only one Democratic incumbent, Maria Cantwell of Washington state, is in any kind of difficulty. With a sharp Democratic trend, she's likely to pull through, while the five endangered GOP incumbents lose. In New Jersey, appointed Sen. Bob Menendez looks likely to hold the seat vacated by new Gov. Jon Corzine.
The sixth Democratic gain in the Senate would likely be the Tennessee seat that Majority Leader Bill Frist is vacating. Rep. Harold Ford, the Democratic candidate for the seat, is running even or ahead of both of his likely GOP opponents in the most recent polls.
Why are the Republicans running so poorly?
Iraq and gas prices are a big part of the story. President Bush's dismal approval ratings have a lot to do with it. But the larger reason is that the Republican Congress has acquired a reputation for corruption that hobbles GOP efforts to remain in control.
With Republicans in total control of the levers of power in Washington, the Fox News poll reflects that voters feel the GOP is the more corrupt party by 2:1. Given the chance, doubtless the Democrats would even the score with their share of scandals, but the fact remains that absolute power has given the Republican Party a reputation for corruption.
And then there is the fact that the Republicans have no agenda. What would they pass in the next two years that they have not passed in the previous six? What legislative initiative will emerge from renewed GOP control of Congress? One would be hard pressed to name any.
The Republican Party passed the Patriot Act, the tax cuts of 2001 and the No Child Left Behind Act, a monumental education reform. But after these labors, the GOP majority rested - and has done almost nothing since.
There is no Republican initiative on health care, pension security, global climate change, gas prices or any of the issues most Americans care about. The GOP simply has no agenda. Even immigration reform has been crippled by party bickering.
And the Republican prospects, as a result, are not too bright.
Every weekday JewishWorldReview.com publishes what many in in the media and Washington consider "must-reading". Sign up for the daily JWR update. It's free. Just click here.
JWR contributor Dick Morris is author, most recently, of "Because He Could". (Click HERE to purchase. Sales help fund JWR.) Comment by clicking here.
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© 2006, Dick Morris
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