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April 9, 2014

Jonathan Tobin: Why Did Kerry Lie About Israeli Blame?

Samuel G. Freedman: A resolution 70 years later for a father's unsettling legacy of ashes from Dachau

Jessica Ivins: A resolution 70 years later for a father's unsettling legacy of ashes from Dachau

Kim Giles: Asking for help is not weakness

Kathy Kristof and Barbara Hoch Marcus: 7 Great Growth Israeli Stocks

Matthew Mientka: How Beans, Peas, And Chickpeas Cleanse Bad Cholesterol and Lowers Risk of Heart Disease

Sabrina Bachai: 5 At-Home Treatments For Headaches

The Kosher Gourmet by Daniel Neman Have yourself a matzo ball: The secrets bubby never told you and recipes she could have never imagined

April 8, 2014

Lori Nawyn: At Your Wit's End and Back: Finding Peace

Susan B. Garland and Rachel L. Sheedy: Strategies Married Couples Can Use to Boost Benefits

David Muhlbaum: Smart Tax Deductions Non-Itemizers Can Claim

Jill Weisenberger, M.S., R.D.N., C.D.E : Before You Lose Your Mental Edge

Dana Dovey: Coffee Drinkers Rejoice! Your Cup Of Joe Can Prevent Death From Liver Disease

Chris Weller: Electric 'Thinking Cap' Puts Your Brain Power Into High Gear

The Kosher Gourmet by Marlene Parrish A gift of hazelnuts keeps giving --- for a variety of nutty recipes: Entree, side, soup, dessert

April 4, 2014

Rabbi David Gutterman: The Word for Nothing Means Everything

Charles Krauthammer: Kerry's folly, Chapter 3

Amy Peterson: A life of love: How to build lasting relationships with your children

John Ericson: Older Women: Save Your Heart, Prevent Stroke Don't Drink Diet

John Ericson: Why 50 million Americans will still have spring allergies after taking meds

Cameron Huddleston: Best and Worst Buys of April 2014

Stacy Rapacon: Great Mutual Funds for Young Investors

Sarah Boesveld: Teacher keeps promise to mail thousands of former students letters written by their past selves

The Kosher Gourmet by Sharon Thompson Anyone can make a salad, you say. But can they make a great salad? (SECRETS, TESTED TECHNIQUES + 4 RECIPES, INCLUDING DRESSINGS)

April 2, 2014

Paul Greenberg: Death and joy in the spring

Dan Barry: Should South Carolina Jews be forced to maintain this chimney built by Germans serving the Nazis?

Mayra Bitsko: Save me! An alien took over my child's personality

Frank Clayton: Get happy: 20 scientifically proven happiness activities

Susan Scutti: It's Genetic! Obesity and the 'Carb Breakdown' Gene

Lecia Bushak: Why Hand Sanitizer May Actually Harm Your Health

Stacy Rapacon: Great Funds You Can Own for $500 or Less

Cameron Huddleston: 7 Ways to Save on Home Decor

The Kosher Gourmet by Steve Petusevsky Exploring ingredients as edible-stuffed containers (TWO RECIPES + TIPS & TECHINQUES)

Jewish World Review June 21, 2012 / 1 Tamuz, 5772

Slips and blips don't decide elections

By Cokie and Steve Roberts



http://www.JewishWorldReview.com | The political world is overheated and overtweeted. Every little blip and slip is treated as a decisive turning point in an election still almost five months away. The same pundits who wrote off Mitt Romney for mentioning his wife's two Cadillacs are now dismissing Barack Obama for saying the private sector is "doing fine." They were wrong then and are wrong now. The election will be very close, and while it's too early to predict the outcome, it is possible to identify some of the critical factors that could make a difference. For Obama:


  • Incumbency. The president has the biggest microphone in the country and the ability to control the agenda and make news, particularly in swing states like Ohio, where he's practically moved in. Moreover, he acts as commander in chief, meeting with military brass and foreign leaders. Romney, like any challenger, can only ask voters to imagine him in that role.

  • Demographics. The electorate was 74 percent white in 2008, and that figure will drop by 2 points this year. Obama won 95 percent of the black vote and 67 percent of the Hispanic vote four years ago, and those margins should hold. Democrats are already running Spanish-language ads in Nevada, Florida and Colorado. Romney could possibly reduce his vulnerability by picking Sen. Marco Rubio, a Cuban-American, as his running mate, but as former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush said recently, Romney is in a "box" with Latino voters because of his harsh stance on immigration.

  • Electoral map. Obama has more routes to victory than Romney. The website Real Clear Politics has him leading in states with 221 electoral votes, only 49 short of what he needs. Romney is at 170 with 11 toss-up states.

  • Organization. Team Obama had time to build its organization while the Romney camp was distracted by primary fights. Moreover, Obama's people understand the new media environment better than anyone. They know how to engage volunteers to donate and raise money, send videos, text friends, canvass neighbors. The real Obama revolution of 2008 occurred inside people's heads, as passive supporters became active organizers, acquiring an ownership stake in his success. That strategy still works.

  • Story. Obama has a poignant story to tell, and while he's no longer the Great Black Hope, he still connects with voters on a personal level. They like him even if they don't like his policies, and likability, along with optimism, are the two most valuable commodities in American politics.


For Romney:


  • Economy. Obama, like all presidents, owns the economy. No matter how much he blames his predecessor in office, or "headwinds" in Europe, or Republicans in Congress, voters will hold him accountable for 8.2 percent unemployment and a 40 percent drop in average family wealth since 2007. In this context, Romney's argument that he understands business and job creation is potentially quite persuasive.

  • GOP base. Romney struggled in many early primaries, losing badly among the most conservative voters, but that now seems like ancient history. True Believers have not fallen in love with Romney -- many still worry about his moderate past and Mormon faith -- but they truly despise Obama, and their determination to defeat him fuels their commitment to the Romney cause.

  • Intensity. A sense of disappointment diminishes the enthusiasm of many Obama supporters. Some liberals think he has not fought hard enough for their issues -- a public option in the health-care bill, legalization of undocumented immigrants -- while some moderates feel he's been too partisan and ideological. Intensity matters in politics, and Republicans seem to have more of it right now.

  • Money. Obama enjoyed a huge financial advantage over John McCain, but Romney outraised Obama by $16 million last month, and super PACs are poised to pour hundreds of millions into the anti-Obama effort. The Supreme Court's decision to allow such PACs could turn out to have a major impact.

  • Ann Romney. Romney can never match Obama's personal story of struggle and hardship; he's too rich, privileged and unmarked by disappointment. But his wife's serious health problems send a signal that he does understand the strains and stresses the rest of us deal with every day.


The election could ultimately turn on an unpredictable event -- a devastating storm, a European meltdown, a spike in gas prices -- that darkens the nation's mood or showcases Obama's leadership. But the basic facts will be far more important than the latest twists and tweets flashing across your TV or computer screen.

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