In this issue
April 9, 2014

Jonathan Tobin: Why Did Kerry Lie About Israeli Blame?

Samuel G. Freedman: A resolution 70 years later for a father's unsettling legacy of ashes from Dachau

Jessica Ivins: A resolution 70 years later for a father's unsettling legacy of ashes from Dachau

Kim Giles: Asking for help is not weakness

Kathy Kristof and Barbara Hoch Marcus: 7 Great Growth Israeli Stocks

Matthew Mientka: How Beans, Peas, And Chickpeas Cleanse Bad Cholesterol and Lowers Risk of Heart Disease

Sabrina Bachai: 5 At-Home Treatments For Headaches

The Kosher Gourmet by Daniel Neman Have yourself a matzo ball: The secrets bubby never told you and recipes she could have never imagined

April 8, 2014

Lori Nawyn: At Your Wit's End and Back: Finding Peace

Susan B. Garland and Rachel L. Sheedy: Strategies Married Couples Can Use to Boost Benefits

David Muhlbaum: Smart Tax Deductions Non-Itemizers Can Claim

Jill Weisenberger, M.S., R.D.N., C.D.E : Before You Lose Your Mental Edge

Dana Dovey: Coffee Drinkers Rejoice! Your Cup Of Joe Can Prevent Death From Liver Disease

Chris Weller: Electric 'Thinking Cap' Puts Your Brain Power Into High Gear

The Kosher Gourmet by Marlene Parrish A gift of hazelnuts keeps giving --- for a variety of nutty recipes: Entree, side, soup, dessert

April 4, 2014

Rabbi David Gutterman: The Word for Nothing Means Everything

Charles Krauthammer: Kerry's folly, Chapter 3

Amy Peterson: A life of love: How to build lasting relationships with your children

John Ericson: Older Women: Save Your Heart, Prevent Stroke Don't Drink Diet

John Ericson: Why 50 million Americans will still have spring allergies after taking meds

Cameron Huddleston: Best and Worst Buys of April 2014

Stacy Rapacon: Great Mutual Funds for Young Investors

Sarah Boesveld: Teacher keeps promise to mail thousands of former students letters written by their past selves

The Kosher Gourmet by Sharon Thompson Anyone can make a salad, you say. But can they make a great salad? (SECRETS, TESTED TECHNIQUES + 4 RECIPES, INCLUDING DRESSINGS)

April 2, 2014

Paul Greenberg: Death and joy in the spring

Dan Barry: Should South Carolina Jews be forced to maintain this chimney built by Germans serving the Nazis?

Mayra Bitsko: Save me! An alien took over my child's personality

Frank Clayton: Get happy: 20 scientifically proven happiness activities

Susan Scutti: It's Genetic! Obesity and the 'Carb Breakdown' Gene

Lecia Bushak: Why Hand Sanitizer May Actually Harm Your Health

Stacy Rapacon: Great Funds You Can Own for $500 or Less

Cameron Huddleston: 7 Ways to Save on Home Decor

The Kosher Gourmet by Steve Petusevsky Exploring ingredients as edible-stuffed containers (TWO RECIPES + TIPS & TECHINQUES)

Jewish World Review March 6, 2012/ 12 Adar, 5772

The Danger Of Deadlock

By Dick Morris

http://www.JewishWorldReview.com | If Romney, Santorum, and Gingrich split the remaining primaries and caucuses — even if Romney wins most of them — we will not have a nominee until the summer and may not have one until the convention in late August.

In that case, kiss our chances of beating Obama good-bye!

With a majority of the delegates to be chosen through proportional representation, Romney would have to win virtually all of the winner-take-all states and do well in the others to get the nomination before the convention in late, late, late August.

If Santorum or Gingrich upend Mitt in even a handful of key states, we will have a deadlock.

Here's how it stacks up.

Let's assume the best case for Romney: He wins these winner-take-all states: ND (28 delegates), Vt (17), Virgin Islands (9), Guam (9), Puerto Rico (23), Illinois (69), DC (19), Md (37), Wisc (42), Ct (28), Del (17), RI (19), Ind (46), WV (31), Neb (35) losing only Pa (72) to Santorum and Ga (76) and NC (55) to Gingrich.

And then assume that Romney "wins" these proportional representation states but has to split the vote with the other three candidates: Alaska (27), Idaho (32), Mass (41), Ohio (66), Va (49), Wyo (29), Kan (40), Haw (20), NY (95), Me (24), Ore (28), Ky (45). Assume that Romney "loses" these proportional representation states but still gets his share of the delegates: loses to Newt: Ark (36), Alab (50), Miss (40), La (46). Loses to Santorum: Okla (43), Tenn (58), Col (26), Minn (40), Mo (52).

Then, in that case, here's how the delegate total would stack up on May 22nd:

Romney = 837

Santorum = 332

Gingrich = 336

Paul = 127

With 1,144 needed to nominate a candidate. We would be well into May without a nominee.

Then, let's assume that Santorum and Gingrich win Texas (155 by proportional representation) but Romney gets his proportional share (a third of Texas' delegates are chosen on winner take all. Assume Newt wins them). Then assume Romney and Santorum split Iowa (28) and Mitt wins the proportional representation battle in Washington State (43). Still, no majority for anyone.

It would not be until June 5th that a nominee would emerge if Romney wins the winner-take-all states of California (172), Mont (25) NJ (50), SD (28), and Utah (40) and won the proportional state of NM (23). At that point, Romney would have 1,250 delegates, about a hundred more than he would need for a majority.

Waiting until June 5th for a nominee against an incumbent president is an unacceptable risk.

But what if Romney loses just a handful of these states? It would throw the convention into deadlock. Nobody would have a first ballot majority and this internecine warfare would drag on until the convention itself.

If we are to avoid a deadlock, we have to hope one candidate or another wins them all. And that probably, at this stage, means Romney.


Every weekday JewishWorldReview.com publishes what many in the media and Washington consider "must-reading". Sign up for the daily JWR update. It's free. Just click here.


Click HERE to purchase it at a 46% discount. (Sales help fund JWR.).

Comment by clicking here.

Dick Morris Archives

© 2012, Dick Morris