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Jewish World Review March 23, 2010 / 8 Nissan 5770 The coming consequences of Obamacare By Byron York http://www.JewishWorldReview.com | For some of the brightest, most politically aware people in the country, the yearlong debate over the Democrats' national healthcare plan has been an inspiring experience. It has inspired them to run for Congress as Republicans. Dr. Larry Bucshon is one of them. A heart surgeon in Evansville, Ind., Bucshon watched the first months of Barack Obama's presidency with growing alarm. "It became clear to me that what he said in the campaign — big government, more spending, more federal-government control — was what he was really going to do," says Bucshon. By last summer, as the president and congressional Democrats turned to health care, Bucshon was thinking about running for the House from Indiana's 8th District. By October, he had joined the race. Bucshon is just one of what House GOP leaders believe is the best class of new candidates in many years. "So far, our successful recruitment efforts have helped produce over 95 top GOP recruits," says Rep. Kevin McCarthy, who is leading the recruitment drive for the National Republican Congressional Committee. And those are just the hot prospects in potentially winnable districts; there will also be Republican challengers for even the safest Democratic seats. Talk to the new candidates, and they're worried about the entire scope of Obama policy. But an indicator of the specific effect of Obamacare is the unusually large number of new recruits — 31 — who come from the medical profession. Twenty-four are doctors. The GOP already has a significant advantage in the number of physicians-turned-lawmakers — at the Obama healthcare summit, the Republicans brought three doctors to the table, while the Democrats brought none — and that advantage will probably grow in 2011. That gives them a special authority on what will surely be a continuing debate over Obamacare. "I think it will basically decimate the healthcare system in America," Bucshon says. "The number of doctors who are going to retire, and the number of young people who are no longer going to go into medicine, will be massive." But no matter what line of work the candidates come from, Republicans are growing more and more confident. "When we started out recruiting, right after the Obama win, the president had an approval rating of about 72 percent and we had just gotten through losing about 50 seats in the last two cycles," says Rep. Lynn Westmoreland, who is playing a key role the GOP effort. "It wasn't easy to recruit anybody." Then came Democratic overreach — stimulus, cap and trade, health care. After that came GOP victories in the Virginia and New Jersey governors' races. And then came Scott Brown's Senate win in Massachusetts. A trickle of good candidates turned into a flood. There is Stephen Fincher in Tennessee, Cory Gardner in Colorado, Dennis Ross in Florida, Vaughn Ward in Idaho, Andy Harris in Maryland, Steve Stivers in Ohio, Pat Meehan in Pennsylvania, Tim Griffin in Arkansas and others. Westmoreland has talked to a lot of potential candidates in recruiting trips across the country. He hears the same thing over and over again. "Ninety-five percent say, 'I never really thought about running for Congress,'" says Westmoreland. "They say, 'I'm doing this to try to right the ship, to put the country back on the right course.'" What are their chances? By historical standards, the party out of power would probably pick up seats this November, but all signs point to something much bigger than that. Last month, the respected political analyst Charlie Cook raised a lot of eyebrows when he told National Journal, "It's very hard to come up with a scenario where Democrats don't lose the House." Democrats bristle when Republicans tell them they're committing political suicide by pushing so hard on health care. Democratic strategists point out that Republicans don't exactly have their best interests at heart. But don't listen to what Republicans say. Watch what they do. The new candidates deeply believe the Obama administration has put the country on the wrong track. They sense weakness in Democrats who had to be strong-armed into voting for Obamacare. They feel the support of growing numbers of voters in their districts. They're running hard, and they're most likely going to leave a bunch of Democrats without jobs. Obamacare will have consequences. Every weekday JewishWorldReview.com publishes what many in the media and Washington consider "must-reading". Sign up for the daily JWR update. It's free. Just click here. Comment on Byron York's column by clicking here. Previously: 03/16/10 Marco Rubio and the Republicans who love him 03/15/10 GOP hopes town halls take health care off table 03/08/10 Dems turn risky health vote into manhood contest 03/01/10 Why Obama defies the public on health care 02/22/10 South Carolina mulls 2012: Romney? Palin? Huck? 02/16/10 GOP winning war over Miranda rights for terrorists 02/09/10 Who are the 300 terrorists held in U.S. prisons? 02/02/10 Is Obama dissatisfied with being president? 01/19/10 The Republican dilemma: Good Michael or Bad Michael? 01/12/10 Now the lawmakers are figuring out what they didn't know 01/05/10 GOP deserves blame for Democratic excesses 12/29/09 Dems' dreams of a blue West begin to turn red 12/22/09 Why Dems push health care, even if it kills them 11/30/09 Dems' kamikaze mission: Health care by New Year's 11/23/09 Why it's a mistake to bring Gitmo prisoners here 11/16/09 Dems' slick fix: $210 billion of fiscal restraint 11/10/09 Obama can't be community organizer for the world 11/02/09 At key moment, Obama leaves health post unfilled 10/26/09 ‘Fierce urgency' for jobs, not health care’ 10/12/09 Facts hurt Jennings in youth sex controversy 10/05/09 Amid terror threat, Dems chip away at Patriot Act 09/27/09 In Afghanistan, let U.S. troops be warriors 09/21/09 Under fire, Democrats abandon ACORN in drove 09/14/09 Dems stifle Republican health care plans 09/08/09 For Dems, a serious Charlie Rangel problem 09/07/09 Obama's speech: Wrong setting for a sales job 09/01/09 What happened to the antiwar movement? 08/24/09 Why Dems may jam through health care plan 08/17/09 GOP thinks the unthinkable: Victory in 2010 08/10/09 The empty words of a journalist turned flack 08/03/09 Probe finds new clues in AmeriCorps IG scandal 07/27/09 Obamacare haunted by unkept promises of stimulus 07/20/09 Why the GOP failed the Sotomayor test 07/13/09 What the GOPers will ask Sotomayor 06/29/09 Serious questions remain for Mark Sanford 06/22/09 How GOPers can crack the AmeriCorps scandal 06/16/09 Worried about Sotomayor? Consider Andre Davis 06/08/09 Can Mitch Daniels save the GOP? 06/01/09 When the Dems derailed a Latino nominee 05/26/09 Why the GOP will defeat Obama on healthcare 05/19/09 Rosy report can't hide stimulus problems 05/12/09 The Reagan legacy is the man himself 05/05/09 Sen. Specter, meet your new friends 04/27/09 Ted Olson: ‘Torture’ probes will never end 04/20/09 Who's Laughing at the ‘Axis of Evil’ today? 04/14/09 Congress needs Google to track stimulus money 04/06/09 Beyond AIG: A bill to let Big Government set your salary 03/30/09 On Spending and the Deficit, McCain Was Right 03/24/09 It's Obama's crisis now 03/17/09: Geithner-Obama economics: A joke that's not funny © 2009, NEA

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