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February 10, 2012
Lisa M. Krieger: Man with defibrillator demands access to his own heart's information
David G. Savage: Why activists may not be in a hurry to have High Court rule on alternative marriage
February 9, 2012
Laura McMullen: 10 Least Expensive Public Schools for Out-of-State Students
Kimberly Palmer: How to actually enjoy -- relaxing, financially -- your vacation
February 8, 2012
Warren Richey: Why momentous Prop. 8 ruling might not satisfy gay-rights groups
Menachem Wecker: Though Controversial, LL.M.'s Can Lead to Specialized Legal Jobs
The Kosher Gourmet byDana Velden: Going to the bother of making soup? You know it better be good. This CREAM OF TOMATO SOUP certainly is! And it's a cinch to make, too (Includes techinques and serving secrets)
February 7, 2012
Frank J. Gaffney, Jr.: Caught off-guard? President's Super Bowl interview with Matt Lauer gives those who need a reason not to vote for him, a darn good one
Suzanne Bohan: Leaping lizards! Tiny reptiles advancing robot design
February 6, 2012
Jonathan Tobin: Iran Threatens Israel With Destruction, But the New York Times Doesn't Hear It
Jeffrey Fleishman: In newly democratic Egypt, tens of democracy activists jailed, to stand trial; their groups are 'threatening the stability of the homeland'
Julie Deardorff : Researchers say antioxidants may not be that effective and could do more harm than good
Mark Clayton: How did Anonymous hackers eavesdrop on FBI and Scotland Yard?
February 3, 2012
Edmund Sanders : Israeli official says Iran is creating missile that could reach East Coast of US
Victoria Kim: Immigrant-smuggling ring used black drivers to avoid racial profiling
February 2, 2012
Jim Carney: Wrong number call may have saved her life
Reza Kahlili : Ex-CIA spy in Iran's Revolutionary Guard: What Obama doesn't grasp about striking deals with Tehran
Tina Susman: For woodchuck rescuer, every day is Groundhog Day
February 1, 2012
Brian Bennett: US officials see increasing threat of domestic attack from Iran
Emily Brandon: How to Take Advantage of New 401(k) Fee Disclosures
January 31, 2012
January 30, 2012
Paul Richter and Ramin Mostaghim: Misreading Teheran's limits -- deadly and economically devastating as they may be -- is a risk administration, Europe seem willing to take
Suzanne Bohan: Warning: Nap-deprived tots missing more than sleep, study finds
Meg Handley: Banks Revamping Rewards Programs to Woo Customers
January 27, 2012
Caroline B. Glick: Obama: Of course I intend to prevent a nuclear holocaust . . . in a few months
Yochonon Donn: In liberal New York City, fervently-Orthodox Jews may soon be getting a district to call their own
Jeannine Stein: An inflated ego and thinking you're 'all that' doesn't just make others sick of you, it can make you ill
Katy Hopkins: New budget rules may affect how much money you get for college
January 26, 2012
Ed Koch: To the New York Times, calling for the murder of Jews by those capable of having their incitement taken seriously isn't news
Jeannine Stein: Mental illness struck one in five U.S. adults in 2010: Report
January 25, 2012
Richard Simon: House passes two bills endorsing the use of religious symbols at military memorials
Fred Weir: Putin: Multiethnic Russia cannot survive as a US-style 'melting pot'; must find its own way
Susan Johnston: 5 Sneaky Coupon Strategies Consumers Should Watch Out For
January 24, 2012
Carol Clark: The price of your soul: How your brain decides whether to 'sell out'
Caroline B. Glick: America lost most in 'Arab Spring'. Sadly, many voters still don't grasp the extent
Warren Richey: Drug criminal scores win in GPS ruling from conservative-leaning high court
Erika Bolstad: Black conservatives gather to talk about gaining strength
January 23, 2012
Melissa Dribben: Jewish voters to play a key role in Florida's Republican primary
Jordan Rau: In quest to grow, Catholic hospital system will announce this morning its break from church
Ali Safi: U.S. envoy gives Taliban terms for peace talks
January 19, 2012
January 18, 2012
January 17, 2012
Frank J. Gaffney Jr.: No-kidding red lines: U.S. response to an Iranian nuke may be bluster, but Israel's won't be
David G. Savage: They sued their principals after slandering them online --- now the cases are headed to the Supreme Court
David Francis: Where to Invest in 2012: With stocks expected to rebound, opportunity abounds for investors
January 13, 2012
Ben Lynfield: Israeli lawmakers move to annex Jewish Judea, one museum at a time
Alexia Elejalde-Ruiz: Thriving through touch: Gentle massage helps older people with low mobility improve in mind and body
January 12, 2012
Warren Richey: Landmark Supreme Court ruling a 'resounding win' for religious groups
Warren Richey: Supreme Court says no to new rule on eyewitness testimony
John Fauber : Statins found to raise diabetes risk in postmenopausal women
Katy Hopkins : Consider This Before You Pay for an Online Degree
The Kosher Gourmet by Joseph Erdos: This mushroom and barley soup has an intense -- almost nutty -- flavor that mixes robust with Middle East. It has creaminess without cream
January 11, 2012
Shari Roan: Millions of atrial fibrillation sufferers at risk for devastating, but preventable, stroke
Tom Hussain: Pakistan -- recipient of more than $21 billion in civilian and military aid -- speeds pursuit of Iranian pipeline, defying US
David G. Savage: High court signals it won't be loosening TV's 'indecency' rules
Stephen Ceasar: Oklahoma's Islamic law amendment can't go into effect, court rules
January 10, 2012
Reza Kahlili: From an ex-CIA spy: US must exploit new split in Iran's Revolutionary Guard
Karen Kaplan: Study: Nicotine replacement products ineffective when used in real-life situations
January 9, 2012
Michael Doyle: Put through legal hell over dream home, couple fought back hard --- all the way to Supreme Court
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Jewish World Review
January 22, 2008
/ 15 Shevat 5768
Pity the political reporters?
By
Jack Kelly
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http://www.JewishWorldReview.com |
It's still not the way to bet, but it is now distinctly possible that one, perhaps
both, presidential nominations won't be settled until their respective national
conventions.
This will be described by the news media as unalloyed bad news for the politicians.
They'll urge the parties to settle on a presumptive nominee as soon as possible.
But nomination battles that last into the summer are really only unalloyed bad news
for the news media, so politicians should take the advice we journalists proffer
with a grain of salt.
Campaigns that go on that long drain resources that could be put to better use in
general election campaigns, and leave deeper intra-party scars that have less time
to heal before the fall campaign begins.
On the other hand, long, closely fought campaigns hold public interest, and sharpen
the ultimate nominee's debating skills. If both nominees are known on Super Tuesday
Feb. 5, the intervening months between then and Labor Day will be zzzzzzzzz.
But for journalists especially television journalists the more candidates who
are viable for longer means the more reporters and camera crews who have to be
assigned to follow them around. That costs money lots and lots of money. So
journalists are quick to crown frontrunners, and to urge losers to drop out.
Most people think it's more likely the Republicans will have a brokered convention,
because there are so many GOP candidates, and so little enthusiasm for them. But a
brokered convention may be more likely among Democrats, because of the way Democrats
allocate delegates.
Most Republican primaries are winner take all, either statewide or by congressional
district. If a frontrunner emerges, he can rack up a significant lead in delegates.
Democrats have adopted a system of proportional representation. Losers get
delegates too, provided they meet a minimum threshold. In Nevada Saturday, Barack
Obama, the loser, wound up with one delegate more than Hillary Clinton, the winner.
Proportional representation, even more than his runaway ego, is the reason why John
Edwards is still in the race. He crashed and burned in Nevada, but had won 26
percent of the delegates selected in Iowa and New Hampshire. Mr. Edwards can't be
king. But if the race between Sen. Clinton and Sen. Obama remains close, and Mr.
Edwards can win 15 percent or more of the delegates in South Carolina next Saturday,
and then on Super Tuesday, he could be the kingmaker.
The other reason why a brokered convention may be more likely among Democrats is
that Democrats have made every Democratic governor, senator, congressman and state
party chair "super delegates." Some have announced support for Sen. Clinton or Sen.
Obama, but all are free to change their minds at any time.
Journalists longing to proclaim Sen. McCain the frontrunner did so after South
Carolina Saturday, and if he wins in Florida, he will be. But Sen. McCain has yet
to win a plurality of Republican voters in any primary, and in most of the primaries
to come, only Republicans will be permitted to vote.
There is no Republican frontrunner, though the results last weekend in South
Carolina and Nevada suggest that unless Rudy Giuliani can pull an upset in Florida
Jan. 29, the race will settle into a slug fest between Mitt Romney and Sen. John
McCain. The doubts many Republicans have about both men should keep some of the
others in the race for at least a little while longer.
After Florida, all the candidates will be broke except for Mr. Romney, who can self
finance. But there is little reason for any of them to formally withdraw from the
race.
Former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee has demonstrated little appeal beyond his
evangelical Christian base. But that base is pretty solid, and he doesn't have to
do much to turn it out. He can't be king, but if he can win delegates in a few
Southern primaries, maybe he could be kingmaker and the vice presidential
nominee.
If Rudy Giuliani wins in Florida, and in New York, New Jersey and Connecticut on
Super Tuesday, he could be the most powerful person at the convention in
Minneapolis.
Former Tennessee Sen. Fred Thompson has never finished higher than a distant third
in any primary. But he's hanging on, because in a brokered convention, the
nomination often goes to the candidate who is disliked the least, so even Fred still
has a chance.
Every weekday JewishWorldReview.com publishes what many in the media and Washington consider "must-reading". Sign up for the daily JWR update. It's free. Just click here.
JWR contributor Jack Kelly, a former Marine and Green Beret, was a
deputy assistant secretary of the Air Force in the Reagan
administration. Comment by clicking here.
Jack Kelly Archives
© 2008, Jack Kelly
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